DASHBOARD
SRUTH icon
DAILY AI REPORT
In today’s session, U.S. Treasury yields continued to exhibit a modest upward trajectory, with the 2-year yield climbing 2 bp to 3.60%, while the 10-year yield increased by 1 bp to 4.14%. This slight steepening of the yield curve suggests a cautious optimism among investors regarding future growth, despite recent macroeconomic data indicating some strains. The Fed's effective funds rate dipped 11 bp to 4.22%, reflecting market expectations for potential policy easing in the face of declining consumer sentiment and mixed economic indicators. Corporate credit markets showed signs of risk aversion as spreads widened, with Moody's AAA and BAA corporate yields rising by 4 bp and 2 bp, respectively. The high-yield option-adjusted spread surged 11 bp to 2.95%, indicating a flight to quality and a growing apprehension around corporate earnings amidst economic uncertainty. This sentiment was mirrored in the stock market, where the S&P 500 managed a slight gain of 0.38%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell by 3.56%, suggesting a rotation out of growth stocks and into more defensive positions. Internationally, bond yields rose across the board, with Germany’s 10-year yield up 4.2 bp to 2.67% and the UK’s 10-year yield climbing 4.5 bp to 4.64%. This broad trend reflects tightening monetary conditions globally and investor concerns about persistent inflation. Breakeven inflation rates fell, with the 10-year breakeven declining 4 bp to 2.30%, further indicating a tempered inflation outlook. Currency markets saw the U.S. dollar index (DXY) slightly decline by 0.02%, reflecting mixed risk sentiment but maintaining its status as a safe haven amidst global uncertainties. Equity markets were characterized by significant volatility, particularly in the tech sector, where major players like Amazon and Tesla witnessed losses of 4.99% and 5.06%, respectively. This drawdown aligns with the broader trend of increased volatility as evidenced by the VIX rising 0.55% to 16.52. Additionally, crypto markets displayed weakness, with Bitcoin and Ethereum dropping 2.33% and 3.00%, respectively, mirroring the risk-off tone across asset classes. Overall, today’s market dynamics indicate a cautious risk-off sentiment as investors grapple with mixed economic signals. With consumer sentiment notably down 5.67% to 58.20 and labor market indicators showing some softness, the path forward will be crucial. Investors are likely to remain vigilant, focusing on positioning for potential volatility while watching central bank signals closely for guidance on future policy direction.
US Government Yields
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
4.200.0 bp-3.0 bp-5.0 bp-20.0 bp-73.0 bpfredDGS1MO
4.032.0 bp1.0 bp-7.0 bp-34.0 bp-72.0 bpfredDGS3MO
3.831.0 bp2.0 bp-2.0 bp-41.0 bp-63.0 bpfredDGS6MO
3.660.0 bp4.0 bp-2.0 bp-50.0 bp-58.0 bpfredDGS1
3.602.0 bp5.0 bp6.0 bp-65.0 bp-39.0 bpfredDGS2
3.591.0 bp3.0 bp11.0 bp-68.0 bp-30.0 bpfredDGS3
3.742.0 bp7.0 bp13.0 bp-64.0 bp-17.0 bpfredDGS5
3.921.0 bp6.0 bp11.0 bp-56.0 bp-5.0 bpfredDGS7
4.701.0 bp4.0 bp2.0 bp-16.0 bp29.0 bpfredDGS20
4.720.0 bp3.0 bp0.0 bp-6.0 bp38.0 bpfredDGS30
yield spreads
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
-0.43-0.0 bp4.0 bp13.0 bp-31.0 bp33.0 bpsyntheticSPREAD_2Y_3M
0.140.0 bp2.0 bp7.0 bp1.0 bp22.0 bpsyntheticSPREAD_5Y_2Y
0.11-1.0 bp3.0 bp13.0 bp-10.0 bp80.0 bpsyntheticSPREAD_10Y_3M
0.54-1.0 bp-1.0 bp-0.0 bp21.0 bp47.0 bpsyntheticSPREAD_10Y_2Y
0.98-2.0 bp-4.0 bp-13.0 bp58.0 bp55.0 bpsyntheticSPREAD_30Y_5Y
policy rates
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
7.38-12.0 bp-12.0 bp-12.0 bp-12.0 bp-92.0 bpfredMPRIME
4.22-11.0 bp-11.0 bp-11.0 bp-11.0 bp-91.0 bpfredFEDFUNDS
4.150.0 bp0.0 bp-25.0 bp-25.0 bp-75.0 bpfredIORB
4.100.0 bp1.0 bp-23.0 bp-23.0 bp-73.0 bpfredOBFR
4.131.0 bp-7.0 bp-27.0 bp-36.0 bp-70.0 bpfredSOFR
4.23-0.9 bp-6.0 bp-13.7 bp-29.4 bp-77.6 bpfredSOFR30DAYAVG
4.33-0.2 bp-1.4 bp-3.6 bp-36.1 bp-92.8 bpfredSOFR90DAYAVG
mortgages
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
5.53-2.0 bp-2.0 bp-7.0 bp-47.0 bp28.0 bpfredMORTGAGE15US
6.30-4.0 bp-4.0 bp-20.0 bp-55.0 bp18.0 bpfredMORTGAGE30US
tips (real yields)
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
1.352.0 bp5.0 bp17.0 bp-65.0 bp-35.0 bpfredDFII5
1.802.0 bp4.0 bp8.0 bp-44.0 bp3.0 bpfredDFII10
2.471.0 bp1.0 bp-1.0 bp-1.0 bp41.0 bpfredDFII30
corporate yields
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
5.214.0 bp5.0 bp2.0 bp-19.0 bp30.0 bpfredDAAA
5.832.0 bp5.0 bp0.0 bp-17.0 bp23.0 bpfredDBAA
12.0820.0 bp31.0 bp43.0 bp30.0 bp25.0 bpfredBAMLH0A3HYCEY
corporate spreads
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
1.073.0 bp1.0 bp-4.0 bp25.0 bp22.0 bpsyntheticSPREAD_AAA_10Y
1.691.0 bp1.0 bp-6.0 bp27.0 bp15.0 bpsyntheticSPREAD_BAA_10Y
6.8716.0 bp26.0 bp41.0 bp49.0 bp-5.0 bpsyntheticSPREAD_CCC_AAA
international bonds (10y)
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
2.674.2 bp4.2 bp4.2 bp19.0 bp46.6 bpfredIRLTLT01DEM156N
3.540.2 bp0.2 bp0.2 bp-13.7 bp-14.3 bpfredIRLTLT01ITM156N
1.605.5 bp5.5 bp5.5 bp35.5 bp71.0 bpfredIRLTLT01JPM156N
4.644.5 bp4.5 bp4.5 bp-2.6 bp69.2 bpfredIRLTLT01GBM156N
breakevens
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
2.35-4.0 bp-3.0 bp-6.0 bp-3.0 bp9.0 bpfredT5YIE
2.30-4.0 bp-3.0 bp-5.0 bp-4.0 bp-3.0 bpfredT10YIE
2.25-4.0 bp-3.0 bp-4.0 bp-5.0 bp-15.0 bpfredT5YIFR
foreign exchange
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
99.3710-0.01801.65101.5910-9.1190-3.6190yahooDX-Y.NYB
1.1569-0.0063-0.0156-0.01340.11630.0625yahooEURUSD_X
1.3303-0.0099-0.0144-0.02180.07540.0235yahooGBPUSD_X
152.99700.31705.84705.6050-3.99803.8370yahooJPY_X
0.64740.0000-0.0124-0.01940.0254-0.0267yahooAUDUSD_X
1.40040.00020.00430.0170-0.03460.0258yahooUSDCAD_X
0.80620.00470.00920.0089-0.0970-0.0543yahooUSDCHF_X
0.57230.0000-0.0096-0.02550.0083-0.0373yahooNZDUSD_X
7.13350.01150.01450.0128-0.16460.0534yahooUSDCNY_X
9.53190.10270.13840.1479-1.4920-0.8600yahooUSDSEK_X
10.06730.09440.09220.0912-1.2603-0.7070yahooUSDNOK_X
18.5425-0.03550.13050.0885-2.0897-0.8959yahooUSDMXN_X
41.81800.00590.17620.47526.51287.5657yahooUSDTRY_X
17.4663-0.02140.19600.1197-1.2986-0.0501yahooUSDZAR_X
176.9590-0.59504.43004.478013.573013.7580yahooEURJPY_X
0.86940.0016-0.00260.00390.04020.0321yahooEURGBP_X
203.5200-1.07805.66004.23406.52108.6100yahooGBPJPY_X
0.93240.0003-0.0021-0.0008-0.0075-0.0091yahooEURCHF_X
crypto
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
110,084.47-2,628.79-13,429.01-6,017.1115,664.7146,891.45yahooBTC-USD
3,730.14-115.52-785.28-985.11376.641,253.62yahooETH-USD
173.95-15.06-54.65-68.36-19.9327.45yahooSOL-USD
0.18-0.01-0.07-0.09-0.140.07yahooDOGE-USD
2.35-0.02-0.62-0.760.031.81yahooXRP-USD
1,116.823.67-48.70191.79410.31540.37yahooBNB-USD
16.97-0.52-5.04-8.17-4.715.95yahooLINK-USD
0.63-0.01-0.21-0.29-0.290.27yahooADA-USD
92.41-4.81-26.45-25.75-12.4026.20yahooLTC-USD
0.220.000.00-0.08-0.26-0.79yahooMATIC-USD
2.96-0.00-1.17-1.36-4.06-1.24yahooDOT-USD
21.04-0.04-9.05-7.94-16.66-7.59yahooAVAX-USD
indices
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
6,760.9125.8045.12228.87879.28980.86yahoo_GSPC
22,204.43-820.20-576.08318.372,893.643,922.38yahoo_IXIC
45,479.60-878.82-1,278.68-11.322,935.383,025.48yahoo_DJI
stocks (mag 7)
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
183.16-9.41-4.465.8448.9048.39yahooNVDA
245.27-8.77-12.7518.48-4.2617.29yahooAAPL
510.96-11.44-6.3910.5991.7698.22yahooMSFT
216.37-11.37-3.14-13.96-3.0229.72yahooAMZN
705.30-28.21-5.26-46.17121.15123.30yahooMETA
236.57-4.96-8.78-2.6047.8975.20yahooGOOGL
413.49-22.05-16.3465.709.65174.72yahooTSLA
sectors (cap-weighted)
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
112.80-2.12-3.59-1.4216.8424.01yahooXLC
228.75-6.47-9.11-3.715.8833.01yahooXLY
78.100.060.07-1.300.97-0.97yahooXLP
85.22-2.54-3.69-3.141.62-4.05yahooXLE
52.16-1.16-1.56-0.834.337.19yahooXLF
142.11-2.08-2.715.416.34-7.98yahooXLV
149.90-3.39-4.51-0.8419.4815.97yahooXLI
86.85-1.82-3.01-3.433.93-6.55yahooXLB
40.68-0.45-1.40-0.860.93-0.89yahooXLRE
278.39-11.81-6.338.5946.9649.43yahooXLK
90.20-0.371.296.1516.0613.88yahooXLU
sectors (equal-weight)
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
38.81-0.70-1.620.045.076.99yahooEWCO
24.280.08-0.130.230.25nayahooRCD
29.12-0.05-0.25-0.60-0.39-1.60yahooRHS
75.09-2.86-4.15-2.730.22-3.83yahooRYE
75.62-1.91-2.35-1.424.147.14yahooRYF
29.57-0.54-0.880.620.44-1.62yahooRYH
54.40-1.27-1.88-1.054.583.87yahooRGI
31.67-0.90-1.34-1.24-0.37-4.39yahooRTM
34.12-0.38-1.37-1.11-0.39-1.63yahooEWRE
43.58-1.99-1.601.036.295.64yahooRYT
78.17-0.230.614.3713.7413.31yahooRYU
sentiment
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
16.520.09-0.131.17-0.83-4.41yahoo_VIX
58.20-3.50-3.50-3.50-13.50-9.70fredUMCSENT
liquidity
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
6,590,815.003,696.003,696.00-11,256.00-261,676.00-456,110.00fredWALCL
4.000.000.00-0.25-0.25-0.80fredRRPONTSYAWARD
4.12-0.37-21.27-25.28-469.34-318.46fredRRPONTSYD
2,998.4732.3832.38-183.23-97.53-91.13fredWRESBAL
807.432.292.29209.9187.559.15fredWTREGEN
growth
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
30,485.73443.62443.62443.62443.621,338.68fredGDP
632,490.003,870.003,870.003,870.0016,517.0028,771.00fredRSXFS
1,330.00-32.00-32.00-32.00-130.00-146.00fredPERMIT
1,307.00-122.00-122.00-122.00-51.00-84.00fredHOUST
103.920.100.100.101.040.90fredINDPRO
3.804.404.404.404.400.20fredA191RL1Q225SBEA
labour market
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
1,926,000.00-2,000.00-2,000.00-35,000.0055,000.0099,000.00fredCCSA
218,000.00-14,000.00-14,000.00-16,000.009,000.00-4,000.00fredICSA
7,227.0019.0019.0019.00-535.00-422.00fredJTSJOL
1.90-0.10-0.10-0.10-0.10-0.10fredJTSQUR
62.300.100.100.10-0.30-0.40fredCIVPART
159,540.0022.0022.0022.00487.001,466.00fredPAYEMS
1,930.00104.00104.00104.00487.00385.00fredUEMP27OV
4.300.100.100.100.300.10fredUNRATE
10.500.500.500.501.500.80fredLNS14024887
inflation
NAMELATEST1D1W1MYTD1YSOURCECODE
323.361.231.231.234.289.23fredCPIAUCSL
329.791.141.141.145.059.95fredCPILFESL
127.290.340.340.341.873.40fredPCEPI
126.710.290.290.292.123.58fredPCEPILFE
262.44-0.12-0.12-0.125.086.98fredPPIACO
last updated: 2025-10-12 08:19:19 UTC